Macro Analysis
Leading indicators, interest rates, credit spreads and inflation show where the economy is heading.
We invest our own capital in a portfolio of long and short positions across sectors and markets, and manage it as one. The same discipline sharpens the judgement we bring to every business and property we buy.
We do not take, pool or manage client money.
Long the best, short the rest. We aim to earn from choosing well, not from the market rising.
Leading indicators, interest rates, credit spreads and inflation show where the economy is heading.
We judge whether markets are in a bull or bear phase. The regime sets how much we hold long and how much short.
Capital moves to the sectors the cycle favours, and out of those it does not.
In each sector we rank companies on earnings growth, estimate revisions and valuation.
Management, guidance and the drivers of the business must support the numbers.
We buy the strongest companies and sell short the weakest.
Every idea needs an event that can move the price while we hold it, such as earnings.
Charts and price action set the entry and the exit. They time an idea; they never create one.
How much a stock normally moves sets its stop, its target and the size of the position.
Each position risks only a small, fixed share of capital.
Longs and shorts are balanced, so the portfolio stays close to neutral to the market.
Positions are spread across sectors and checked for correlation, so no single theme dominates.
Stops, limits and exits are set before every trade. Anything that breaks its limit is cut.
Every trade is measured, and the results refine the process.
Gains are banked and reinvested, so capital can compound over time.
Each view is taken through the instrument that expresses it best, long or short.
Long and short positions in companies across sectors and regions.
Government and corporate debt, for income and as a hedge when growth slows.
Options and futures to hedge the portfolio, and to express a view precisely.
This portfolio grows Assetree’s own capital. We do not take, pool or manage money for clients, and nothing on this page is an offer to invest.
No. This portfolio grows Assetree’s own capital. We do not take, pool or manage money for clients, and nothing on this page is an offer to invest.
In a portfolio of long and short positions across sectors and markets, managed as one. Long the best, short the rest: we aim to earn from choosing well, not from the market rising.
Equities, bonds and derivatives. Each view is taken through the instrument that expresses it best, long or short.
From the top down and the bottom up: macro analysis, the market regime and sector rotation, then companies ranked on earnings growth, estimate revisions and valuation, checked by qualitative research, with a catalyst for every idea.
Each position risks only a small, fixed share of capital. Longs and shorts are balanced, positions are checked for correlation, and stops, limits and exits are set before every trade.